METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Featherweight
VS
96%
Oliveira
4%
Wisely
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:43
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Charles OliveirawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:43
def. Eric Wisely · UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraWisely
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Wisely
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
74"
Reach
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oliveira
Wisely
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
2.4
58.6
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Oliveira
Wisely
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.7
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Oliveira
Wisely
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
17
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Wisely
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
2/35 fights
Oliveira
Wisely
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Oliveira
Wisely
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
17
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Wisely
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
OliveiraWisely
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWisely
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Wisely absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Wisely targets the body (50% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Wisely
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Wisely · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jason YoungDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01