UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Featherweight
VS
96%
Oliveira
4%
Wisely
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:43
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
Wisely has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira
Wisely
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
74"
Reach
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oliveira
Wisely
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
2.4
58.6
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Oliveira
Wisely
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
60%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Oliveira
Wisely
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Wisely
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
2/35 fights
Oliveira
Wisely
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Oliveira
Wisely
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
17
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Wisely
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
OliveiraWisely
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWisely
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Wisely absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Wisely targets the body (50% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Wisely
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Wisely · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Wisely · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jason YoungRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01