UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fresno, USA
9 Dec 2017
Middleweight
VS
31%
Neto
69%
Giles
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Giles
Giles holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Neto has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Neto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Giles has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Giles has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Neto
Giles
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neto
Giles
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
39.6
45.7
Performance Avg
41.9
54
Quality of Victory
36
35
Momentum Score
72
Neto
Giles
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.1
29%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
19
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Neto
Giles
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neto
Giles
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Neto
Giles
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Neto
Giles
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neto
Giles
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
NetoGiles
Strike Zones
Neto
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedGiles
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Neto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Giles absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Giles targets the head (90% of attacks) — Neto absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neto
RND
Giles
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Neto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Giles · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Neto · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Clint HesterRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 6.2Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Giles · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
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L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.2Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Louis CosceRating 4.5Decision
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