UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2022
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Volkov
49%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Volkov
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkov at 51% vs Rozenstruik at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rozenstruik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Volkov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
78"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.2
57.0
54.7
Performance Avg
56.7
42
Quality of Victory
54
88
Momentum Score
56
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
5
Body
0
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
21Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/51 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
56
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
89%
6
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkov
Rozenstruik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
VolkovRozenstruik
Strike Zones
Volkov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRozenstruik
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the head (48% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (50% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkov
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0
Volkov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Volkov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Rozenstruik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

