UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun
Los Angeles, USA
24 Oct 2009
Welterweight
VS
54%
Johnson
46%
Yoshida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:41
AJ
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
22 – 6
6'2"78" reachOrthodox42 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 23
YY
Yoshiyuki Yoshida
"Zenko"
18 – 9
Submission Hunter2-fight slide52 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'11"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 54% vs Yoshida at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Yoshida has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Yoshida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Yoshida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
19.7
60.4
Performance Avg
48.4
55
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
65
Johnson
Yoshida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
35%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
11 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Johnson
Yoshida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Yoshida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Johnson
Yoshida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Johnson
Yoshida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Yoshida
Striking9.8 / 0.8Volume2.6 / 0.8Grappling0.4 / 8.0Wrestling0.3 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure8.0 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Johnson
Strike Zones
Yoshida
Johnson
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Yoshida
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Yoshida absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Yoshida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W2.8L5.0W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.0W5.4W2.1L2007-062009-022012-012015-092017-04
WinLossTrend

Yoshida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L2008-052008-122009-052009-102010-05
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Yoshida · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mike GuymonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · Sub · R1
Brandon WolffRating 5
Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
War MachineRating 5
Submission
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05

News & Media

Anthony Johnson · Yoshiyuki Yoshida
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