UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
82%
Magny
18%
Umalatov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
GU
Gasan Umalatov
"Cobra"
17 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

Magny is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Magny has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny
Umalatov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
71"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Umalatov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
10.7
47.4
Performance Avg
25.0
36
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
33
Magny
Umalatov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
5
3
Body
9
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance15
2Clinch1
0Ground2
Magny
Umalatov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Umalatov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Magny
Umalatov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Magny
Umalatov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Umalatov
Striking4.2 / 0.5Volume6.0 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Magny
Strike Zones
Umalatov
Magny
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD9BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Umalatov
Attacking
5HEAD9BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (79% of attacks) — Umalatov absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Umalatov targets the body (50% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Umalatov
0/0R00/0

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Umalatov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.1L4.5W5.5L5.5L2014-022014-052014-102015-11
WinLossTrend

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Umalatov · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Neil Magny · Gasan Umalatov
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