METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Las Vegas, USA
31 May 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
71%
Jacoby
29%
Lopes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:50
def. Bruno Lopes · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lopes has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
24.5
52.3
Performance Avg
25.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
28
Jacoby
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
0.8
3.6
Style: Volume
8.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance2
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Jacoby
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Jacoby
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
28
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
JacobyLopes
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLopes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (94% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (33% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Lopes · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Diyar NurgozhayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Magomed GadzhiyasulovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01