UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Featherweight
VS
56%
Rodriguez
44%
Hooker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 56% vs Hooker at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hooker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooker has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Hooker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Rodriguez
Hooker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
52.3
60.2
Performance Avg
50.3
51
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
78
Rodriguez
Hooker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
1Clinch1
8Ground3
Rodriguez
Hooker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Hooker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Rodriguez
Hooker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Rodriguez
Hooker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Hooker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
RodriguezHooker
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHooker
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (82% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Hooker targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Hooker
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hooker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettRating 5.2Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Hooker · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11