METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Lightweight
VS
53%
Medic
47%
Turner
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:01
★ Official Result
Jalin TurnerwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:01
def. Uros Medic · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Medic
→
Actual result
Turner wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Medic at 53% vs Turner at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Medic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turner has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MedicTurner
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Medic
Turner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+77"
33
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Medic
Turner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.8
64.4
64.7
Performance Avg
57.8
59
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
85
Medic
Turner
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
9.2
Style: Pressure
8.8
1.4
Style: Volume
1.2
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
16
0
Body
8
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance16
0Clinch3
0Ground6
Medic
Turner
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Medic
Turner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Medic
Turner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Medic
Turner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medic
Turner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
9.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
MedicTurner
Strike Zones
Medic
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTurner
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Medic targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Turner targets the head (64% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medic
RND
Turner
0/0R00/0
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Ignacio BahamondesSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Renato MoicanoKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12