UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Perth, Australia
2 May 2026
Welterweight
VS
60%
Micallef
40%
Gorimbo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Micallef
Micallef holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Gorimbo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Micallef throws more volume but Gorimbo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Micallef
Gorimbo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
27+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Micallef
Gorimbo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.6
43.6
59.9
Performance Avg
40.2
33
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
53
Micallef
Gorimbo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
60%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
12
7
Body
2
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
42Distance23
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Micallef
Gorimbo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Micallef
Gorimbo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Micallef
Gorimbo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Micallef
Gorimbo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Micallef
Gorimbo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
MicallefGorimbo
Strike Zones
Micallef
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedGorimbo
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Micallef targets the head (80% of attacks) — Gorimbo absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Gorimbo targets the head (52% of attacks) — Micallef absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Micallef
RND
Gorimbo
0/0R00/0
Micallef · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Gorimbo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Micallef · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Oban ElliottRating 5.9Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Kevin JoussetRating 5.2Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
Gorimbo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MicallefRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

