METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Welterweight
VS
51%
Brady
49%
Matthews
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:28
★ Official Result
Sean BradywinsSubmissionR3 · 3:28
def. Jake Matthews · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brady
→
Actual result
Brady wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brady at 51% vs Matthews at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Brady's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BradyMatthews
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brady
Matthews
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brady
Matthews
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
55.2
53.7
Performance Avg
48.4
35
Quality of Victory
36
84
Momentum Score
100
Brady
Matthews
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.1
6.1
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
0
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Brady
Matthews
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
4
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brady
Matthews
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Brady
Matthews
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brady
Matthews
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brady
Matthews
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
BradyMatthews
Strike Zones
Brady
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMatthews
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brady targets the head (71% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Matthews targets the head (75% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brady
RND
Matthews
0/0R00/0
Brady · Last 5
Upcoming
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Michael MoralesKO/TKO
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Leon EdwardsSubmission
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Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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