UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero
Hollywood, USA
27 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
61%
Santos
39%
Bosse
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Bosse has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Bosse throws more volume but Santos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos
Bosse
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Bosse
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
20.9
54.0
Performance Avg
52.2
51
Quality of Victory
43
91
Momentum Score
85
Santos
Bosse
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
43%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
11 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Santos
Bosse
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Bosse
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Santos
Bosse
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Santos
Bosse
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
50%
11
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Bosse
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
SantosBosse
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBosse
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (33% of attacks) — Bosse absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Bosse
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bosse · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
Bosse · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Sean O'ConnellRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
James Te HunaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06