UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Middleweight
VS
50%
Marquardt
50%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marquardt

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 50% vs Ferreira at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferreira has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marquardt
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marquardt
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
16.6
48.6
Performance Avg
49.5
46
Quality of Victory
43
59
Momentum Score
58
Marquardt
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
10
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
1Clinch0
6Ground11
Marquardt
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Marquardt
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Marquardt
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
Ferreira
Striking5.7 / 1.2Volume3.5 / 6.5Grappling2.6 / 4.3Wrestling1.8 / 3.0Submission2.3 / 3.3Pressure6.4 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Marquardt
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Marquardt
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD10BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
2HEAD10BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the body (77% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Cezar Ferreira
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