UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
36%
Cirkunov
64%
Walker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walker
Walker holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Cirkunov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Walker has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cirkunov
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+82"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cirkunov
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
50.4
50.1
Performance Avg
54.6
53
Quality of Victory
56
59
Momentum Score
41
Cirkunov
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
59%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Cirkunov
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
16/32 fights
Cirkunov
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
41
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Cirkunov
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cirkunov
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
CirkunovWalker
Strike Zones
Cirkunov
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedWalker
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cirkunov
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cirkunov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Cirkunov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Walker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
