UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Lightweight
VS
34%
Makdessi
66%
Bahamondes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bahamondes
Bahamondes holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Makdessi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahamondes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'3"
68"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
60.3
42.2
Performance Avg
53.4
34
Quality of Victory
49
51
Momentum Score
64
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
27
12
Body
9
9
Leg
4
RangeRange
42Distance34
3Clinch6
0Ground0
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
83%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Bahamondes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
MakdessiBahamondes
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedBahamondes
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (53% of attacks) — Bahamondes absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Bahamondes targets the head (68% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Bahamondes
0/0R00/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Bahamondes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.7Decision
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Jalin TurnerRating 6.2Submission
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Manuel TorresRating 7.1KO/TKO
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