UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
52%
Santos
48%
Dalby
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Elizeu
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25 – 10
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Nicolas
Nicolas Dalby
"Lokomotivo"
24 – 6
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 52% vs Dalby at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Dalby has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos
Dalby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Dalby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
41.4
49.3
Performance Avg
41.9
39
Quality of Victory
29
45
Momentum Score
45
Santos
Dalby
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
11
Body
6
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance7
9Clinch5
2Ground0
Santos
Dalby
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Dalby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
Santos
Dalby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Dalby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
13%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Dalby
Striking4.9 / 2.5Volume5.7 / 8.2Grappling2.0 / 2.1Wrestling1.4 / 1.5Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.1 / 2.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
Santos
Strike Zones
Dalby
Santos
Attacking
10HEAD11BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD6BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Dalby
Attacking
4HEAD6BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD11BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the body (48% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Dalby targets the body (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Dalby
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W5.2W5.0W4.8L4.5W6.5L6.3W4.5W6.4L5.0W3.9L3.4L2015-052018-052020-072025-032025-08
WinLossTrend

Dalby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.6L4.5W4.7W5.5W7.0W7.1L3.6L4.5W2015-052020-112023-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4
KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Dalby · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Nicolas Dalby
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