METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
52%
Santos
48%
Dalby
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00

CFR 45
★ Official Result
Nicolas DalbywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Dalby wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 52% vs Dalby at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosDalby
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Dalby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Dalby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
41.4
49.3
Performance Avg
41.9
39
Quality of Victory
29
45
Momentum Score
45
Santos
Dalby
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
2.7
5.7
Style: Volume
8.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
11
Body
6
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance7
9Clinch5
2Ground0
Santos
Dalby
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Dalby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
Santos
Dalby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Dalby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
13%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Dalby
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
SantosDalby
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedDalby
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the body (48% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Dalby targets the body (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Dalby
0/0R00/0
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Dalby · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Randy BrownKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
