UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Lightweight
VS
60%
Oliveira
40%
Gordon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:26
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Gordon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Oliveira
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
68"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
42.1
58.6
Performance Avg
42.8
51
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
63
Oliveira
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Oliveira
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
4.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Oliveira
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Oliveira
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
17
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Gordon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
OliveiraGordon
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGordon
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11