METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Welterweight
VS
42%
Story
58%
Foster
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:09
BF
CFR 23
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsSubmissionR2 · 1:09
def. Brian Foster · UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Foster
→
Actual result
Story wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Story at 42% vs Foster at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Foster has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoryFoster
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Story
Foster
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Foster
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
23.4
46.0
Performance Avg
56.9
35
Quality of Victory
55
65
Momentum Score
85
Story
Foster
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
8.8
6.6
Style: Volume
1.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Story
Foster
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Story
Foster
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
5/37 fights
Story
Foster
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
85
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Story
Foster
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Foster
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
StoryFoster
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedFoster
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the head (100% of attacks) — Foster absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Foster
0/0R00/0
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Foster · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownSubmission
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · KO · R1
Forrest PetzKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Sub · R1
Chris LytleSubmission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Brock LarsonKO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R2
Rick StorySubmission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09