METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Petrino
50%
Jacoby
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:44
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:44
def. Vitor Petrino · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Petrino
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Petrino at 50% vs Jacoby at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jacoby has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetrinoJacoby
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petrino
Jacoby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
29+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Jacoby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.9
59.6
54.8
Performance Avg
52.3
38
Quality of Victory
48
81
Momentum Score
91
Petrino
Jacoby
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
6.7
5.6
Style: Volume
3.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
2
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance13
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Petrino
Jacoby
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petrino
Jacoby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
36
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Petrino
Jacoby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
91
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Petrino
Jacoby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrino
Jacoby
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
PetrinoJacoby
Strike Zones
Petrino
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedJacoby
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (55% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Jacoby targets the head (67% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrino
RND
Jacoby
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Petrino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacDecision
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Thomas PetersenKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneSubmission
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L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
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