UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Welterweight
VS
53%
Barlow
47%
Veretennikov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Danny
Danny Barlow
"LeftHand2God"
92
6'2"79" reachSouthpaw30 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Nikolay
Nikolay Veretennikov
"Gladiator"
148
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barlow

This is a genuine toss-up — Barlow at 53% vs Veretennikov at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Barlow throws more volume but Veretennikov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Veretennikov has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barlow
Veretennikov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
74"
30+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Barlow
Veretennikov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
43.5
42.5
Performance Avg
38.8
38
Quality of Victory
43
66
Momentum Score
51
Barlow
Veretennikov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
59%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
18
2
Body
10
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance28
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Barlow
Veretennikov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barlow
Veretennikov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Barlow
Veretennikov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Barlow
Veretennikov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barlow
Veretennikov
Striking6.0 / 5.7Volume5.0 / 4.7Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Barlow
Strike Zones
Veretennikov
Barlow
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY4LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD10BODY1LEGS29 absorbed
Veretennikov
Attacking
18HEAD10BODY1LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY4LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barlow targets the head (68% of attacks) — Veretennikov absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Veretennikov targets the head (62% of attacks) — Barlow absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barlow
RND
Veretennikov
0/0R00/0

Barlow · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.9W4.9W3.2L5.5L2024-022024-082025-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Veretennikov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.2L4.0L5.2W6.5L5.7W2.9L2024-082025-022025-072025-102026-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Barlow · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Djorden SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Josh QuinlanRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Veretennikov · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Austin VanderfordRating 4
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Danny Barlow · Nikolay Veretennikov
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