METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Featherweight
VS
41%
Aldo
59%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jose
Jose Aldo
3210
5'7"70" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
284
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'6"
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jose Aldo · UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 41% vs Volkanovski at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AldoVolkanovski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Aldo
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
64.0
53.6
Performance Avg
59.8
49
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
100
Aldo
Volkanovski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
4.8
6.9
Style: Volume
7.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
14
2
Body
6
0
Leg
16
RangeRange
7Distance18
2Clinch18
0Ground0
Aldo
Volkanovski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
19/32 fights
Aldo
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Aldo
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldo
Volkanovski
Striking4.1 / 5.0Volume6.9 / 7.0Grappling1.7 / 1.6Wrestling1.2 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Aldo
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Aldo
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD6BODY16LEGS36 absorbed
Volkanovski
Attacking
14HEAD6BODY16LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (78% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldo
RND
Volkanovski
0/0R00/0

Aldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann Zahabi
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario Bautista
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan Martinez
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab Dvalishvili
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob Font
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

Volkanovski · Last 5

Upcoming
Movsar Evloev
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia Topuria
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam Makhachev
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Jose Aldo · Alexander Volkanovski
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