UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Featherweight
VS
41%
Aldo
59%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 64
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Volkanovski
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 41% vs Volkanovski at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aldo
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
64.0
53.6
Performance Avg
59.8
49
Quality of Victory
44
40
Momentum Score
100
Aldo
Volkanovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
61%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
14
2
Body
6
0
Leg
16
RangeRange
7Distance18
2Clinch18
0Ground0
Aldo
Volkanovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Aldo
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Aldo
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Volkanovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
AldoVolkanovski
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedVolkanovski
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (78% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Volkanovski
0/0R00/0
Aldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Volkanovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Volkanovski · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07