UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Middleweight
VS
62%
Brundage
38%
Dumas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brundage
Brundage holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Dumas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brundage has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Brundage has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brundage's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dumas has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brundage
Dumas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+79"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brundage
Dumas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.2
27.6
49.0
Performance Avg
30.0
53
Quality of Victory
25
26
Momentum Score
35
Brundage
Dumas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
32%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Brundage
Dumas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brundage
Dumas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Brundage
Dumas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Brundage
Dumas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brundage
Dumas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
BrundageDumas
Strike Zones
Brundage
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedDumas
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brundage targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dumas absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Dumas targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brundage
RND
Dumas
0/0R00/0
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Dumas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
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