UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Welterweight
VS
52%
Bonfim
48%
Williams
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bonfim
This is a genuine toss-up — Bonfim at 52% vs Williams at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Bonfim connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Bonfim
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+77"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonfim
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.3
63.7
61.5
Performance Avg
54.6
45
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
87
Bonfim
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
5
0
Body
1
10
Leg
7
RangeRange
28Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonfim
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.8
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bonfim
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
Bonfim
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Bonfim
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonfim
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
BonfimWilliams
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the head (64% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonfim
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
Bonfim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Bonfim · Last 5
Upcoming
Belal MuhammadUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Khaos WilliamsRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Williams · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.7Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

