UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
57%
Perez
43%
Zhelezniakova
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:52
Ailin
Ailin Perez
"Fiona"
13 – 2
5'5"66" reachSwitch31 yrs6-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Daria
Daria Zhelezniakova
"Iron Lady"
10 – 3
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Perez

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 57% vs Zhelezniakova at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Zhelezniakova throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Perez
Zhelezniakova
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
31
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Zhelezniakova
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
40.9
52.2
Performance Avg
35.0
30
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
61
Perez
Zhelezniakova
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch0
3Ground1
Perez
Zhelezniakova
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Zhelezniakova
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Perez
Zhelezniakova
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
61
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Perez
Zhelezniakova
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Zhelezniakova
Striking1.7 / 1.0Volume8.4 / 9.0Grappling3.3 / 2.4Wrestling2.3 / 1.7Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure3.7 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Perez
Strike Zones
Zhelezniakova
Perez
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Zhelezniakova
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Zhelezniakova absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Zhelezniakova targets the head (80% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Zhelezniakova
0/0R00/0

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0103.7L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.3W5.2W5.8W2022-092023-112024-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Zhelezniakova · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.6W2.5L5.2W6.6L2024-032024-092025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Daria ZhelezniakovaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

Zhelezniakova · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Melissa CrodenRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Melissa MullinsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Ailin PerezRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Montse RendonRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Ailin Perez · Daria Zhelezniakova
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