METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Featherweight
VS
7%
Soriano
93%
Skelly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chas SkellywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sean Soriano · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Skelly
→
Actual result
Skelly wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Skelly is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Skelly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SorianoSkelly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soriano
Skelly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Soriano
Skelly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.6
34.0
0.0
Performance Avg
56.6
0
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
75
Soriano
Skelly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
7.4
0.0
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
3Clinch0
4Ground3
Soriano
Skelly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Skelly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Soriano
Skelly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
75
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Soriano
Skelly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Skelly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
SorianoSkelly
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSkelly
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (82% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Skelly targets the head (100% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Skelly
0/0R00/0
Soriano · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
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Skelly · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
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L · KO · R3
Jason KnightKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherSubmission
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