METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Ledyard, USA
5 Sept 2014
Featherweight
VS
7%
Soriano
93%
Skelly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chas SkellywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sean Soriano · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Skelly
→
Actual result
Skelly wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Skelly is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Skelly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Soriano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SorianoSkelly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soriano
Skelly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Soriano
Skelly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.6
34.0
0.0
Performance Avg
56.6
0
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
75
Soriano
Skelly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.6
77%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
3Clinch0
4Ground3
Soriano
Skelly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soriano
Skelly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Soriano
Skelly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
75
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Soriano
Skelly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Skelly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
SorianoSkelly
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSkelly
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (82% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Skelly targets the head (100% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Skelly
0/0R00/0
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Skelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Soriano · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
L · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 2.9Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Sub · R3
Charles RosaRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Chas SkellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
L · Sub · R2
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
Skelly · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby MoffettUFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02