UFC 58: USA vs Canada
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2006
Lightweight
VS
41%
Stout
59%
Fisher
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Sam Stout
"Hands of Stone"
20 – 12
5'9"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
SF
Spencer Fisher
"The King"
24 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fisher

This is a genuine toss-up — Stout at 41% vs Fisher at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Fisher connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Stout's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fisher has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Stout
Fisher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
42+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stout
Fisher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
17.7
35.3
Performance Avg
43.8
29
Quality of Victory
38
60
Momentum Score
89
Stout
Fisher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
28%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
7
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance7
8Clinch4
3Ground0
Stout
Fisher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stout
Fisher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
17/33 fights
Stout
Fisher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stout
Fisher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stout
Fisher
Striking2.0 / 3.3Volume8.0 / 4.6Grappling2.1 / 2.8Wrestling1.5 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure2.1 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Stout
Strike Zones
Fisher
Stout
Attacking
14HEAD7BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Fisher
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD7BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stout targets the head (64% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Fisher targets the head (55% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stout
RND
Fisher
0/0R00/0

Stout · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W1.5L2.8L1.5L2006-032008-102011-062013-062015-08
WinLossTrend

Fisher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2005-102007-012009-062011-082012-06
WinLossTrend

Stout · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4
Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06

Fisher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06

News & Media

Sam Stout · Spencer Fisher
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