UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Cutelaba
54%
Lins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lins
This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 46% vs Lins at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cutelaba has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Cutelaba has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cutelaba
Lins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+78"
32+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Lins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
48.2
47.1
Performance Avg
46.9
47
Quality of Victory
34
26
Momentum Score
83
Cutelaba
Lins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
10
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance12
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Cutelaba
Lins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Lins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Cutelaba
Lins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
83
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Cutelaba
Lins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cutelaba
Lins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
CutelabaLins
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedLins
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lins targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cutelaba
RND
Lins
0/0R00/0
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
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