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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Cutelaba
50%
Lins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
2011
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Philipe
Philipe Lins
"Monstro"
185
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak41 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 40
★ Official Result
Philipe LinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ion Cutelaba · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cutelaba
Actual result
Lins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 50% vs Lins at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cutelaba has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CutelabaLins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cutelaba
Lins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+78"
32+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Lins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
40.2
46.2
Performance Avg
46.9
47
Quality of Victory
34
26
Momentum Score
83
Cutelaba
Lins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
3.6
Style: Volume
7.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
10
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance12
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Cutelaba
Lins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Lins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Cutelaba
Lins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
83
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Cutelaba
Lins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cutelaba
Lins
Striking5.3 / 3.8Volume3.6 / 7.3Grappling2.6 / 1.8Wrestling1.8 / 1.3Submission2.2 / 0.0Pressure6.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Cutelaba
Strike Zones
Lins
Cutelaba
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Lins
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lins targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cutelaba
RND
Lins
0/0R00/0

Cutelaba · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Navajo Stirling
KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Oumar Sy
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas Bukauskas
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo Aslan
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan Erslan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Lins · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ion Cutelaba
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Maxim Grishin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Ovince Saint Preux
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcin Prachnio
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Tanner Boser
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06

News & Media

Ion Cutelaba · Philipe Lins
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