UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Paris, France
3 Sept 2022
Lightweight
VS
39%
Makdessi
61%
Haqparast
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Haqparast
Haqparast holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Makdessi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Haqparast throws more volume but Makdessi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Haqparast has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Makdessi
Haqparast
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
41
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Makdessi
Haqparast
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
48.0
42.2
Performance Avg
45.6
34
Quality of Victory
32
51
Momentum Score
72
Makdessi
Haqparast
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
6
Body
6
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance24
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Makdessi
Haqparast
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Haqparast
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Makdessi
Haqparast
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Haqparast
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
20%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Haqparast
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
MakdessiHaqparast
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedHaqparast
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (57% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Haqparast targets the head (67% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Haqparast
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Haqparast · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Haqparast · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09