UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
52%
Salikhov
48%
Leal
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:42
Muslim
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
22 – 6
5'11"70" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 55
Carlos
Carlos Leal
"The Lion"
23 – 7
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Salikhov

This is a genuine toss-up — Salikhov at 52% vs Leal at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Leal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Salikhov's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Salikhov
Leal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
+74"
41
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Salikhov
Leal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
50.9
51.4
Performance Avg
45.5
43
Quality of Victory
43
83
Momentum Score
60
Salikhov
Leal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
5.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Salikhov
Leal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Salikhov
Leal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Salikhov
Leal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
60
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Salikhov
Leal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Salikhov
Leal
Striking6.8 / 6.0Volume4.8 / 5.0Grappling1.1 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Salikhov
Strike Zones
Leal
Salikhov
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Leal
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Salikhov targets the head (33% of attacks) — Leal absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Leal targets the head (100% of attacks) — Salikhov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Salikhov
RND
Leal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Salikhov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L5.2W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.5L5.5W5.8L2.4L5.0W5.4W5.8W3.3L2017-112020-072023-062025-072025-11
WinLossTrend

Leal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0107.1L5.0W2.5L5.6W2024-102025-032025-072026-02
WinLossTrend

Salikhov · Last 5

Upcoming
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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Song KenanRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Leal · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

News & Media

Muslim Salikhov · Carlos Leal
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