Donald Cerrone vs Melvin Guillard — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II

Denver, USA

11 Aug 2012

Lightweight

61%

Cerrone

39%

Guillard

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:16

Donald Cerrone

"Cowboy"

36 – 17

6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 28

Melvin Guillard

"The Young Assassin"

32 – 18

Striker43 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"

CFR 18

★ Official Result

Donald CerronewinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:16

def. Melvin Guillard · UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Cerrone

→

Actual result

Cerrone wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Guillard has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guillard has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CerroneGuillard

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Cerrone

Guillard

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

5'9"

73"+

Reach

71"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Cerrone

Guillard

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

28.2

17.7

53.0

Performance Avg

49.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Cerrone

Guillard

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.6

/ 10

7.0

/ 10

6.7

Style: Pressure

5.8

3.7

Style: Volume

3.8

10 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

7 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance4

0Clinch6

0Ground0

Cerrone

Guillard

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.8

/ 10

0.8

/ 10

2.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.6

2.6

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Cerrone

Guillard

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.1 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

38/53 fights

Chin rating based on

22/50 fights

Cerrone

Guillard

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

6-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Cerrone

Guillard

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

70%

58%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone

Guillard

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.0

2.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.8

2.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

2.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.8

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.8

Cerrone

Strike Zones

Guillard

Cerrone

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Guillard

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Cerrone targets the head (75% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Guillard targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone

RND

Guillard

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2

Jim Miller

Submission

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

L · KO · R1

Alex Morono

KO/TKO

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Upcoming

Niko Price

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09

L · Dec · R3

Anthony Pettis

Decision

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

L · KO · R1

Conor McGregor

KO/TKO

UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Michael Johnson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03

Upcoming

Ross Pearson

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10

W · KO · R2

Mac Danzig

KO/TKO

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07

L · Dec · R3

Jamie Varner

Decision

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12

L · KO · R1

Donald Cerrone

KO/TKO

UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Melvin Guillard

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