UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Lightweight
VS
61%
Cerrone
39%
Guillard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:16
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
Striker43 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cerrone

Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Guillard has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guillard has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Guillard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Guillard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
17.7
53.0
Performance Avg
49.7
47
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
73
Cerrone
Guillard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Cerrone
Guillard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Guillard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
22/50 fights
Cerrone
Guillard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
73
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Cerrone
Guillard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
58%
10
KO / TKO Wins
7
6
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Guillard
Striking5.6 / 7.0Volume3.7 / 3.8Grappling2.8 / 0.8Wrestling2.0 / 0.6Submission2.6 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Guillard
Cerrone
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Guillard
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (75% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Guillard targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Guillard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Guillard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1.9L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W5.6L2005-112008-072011-012012-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Melvin Guillard
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