UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Welterweight
VS
43%
Brown
57%
Battle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Battle
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 43% vs Battle at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Battle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown
Battle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
77"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Battle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
70.6
48.7
Performance Avg
62.8
39
Quality of Victory
46
92
Momentum Score
93
Brown
Battle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
10
10
Body
9
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance9
7Clinch12
0Ground0
Brown
Battle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Battle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Brown
Battle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
93
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Brown
Battle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Battle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
BrownBattle
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedBattle
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (42% of attacks) — Battle absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Battle targets the head (48% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Battle
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Battle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Battle · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R2
Kevin JoussetRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
Upcoming
Ange LoosaUFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Sub · R2
AJ FletcherRating 5.2Submission
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W · KO · R1
Gabe GreenRating 5.8KO/TKO
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