METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
London, United Kingdom
27 Feb 2016
Bantamweight
VS
58%
Rivera
42%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad PickettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Rivera · UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rivera
→
Actual result
Pickett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 58% vs Pickett at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rivera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Rivera's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiveraPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rivera
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
13.8
45.2
Performance Avg
36.4
49
Quality of Victory
37
69
Momentum Score
60
Rivera
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.3
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
3.9
2.8
Style: Volume
5.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground3
Rivera
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
12
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/39 fights
Rivera
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
60
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Rivera
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
RiveraPickett
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPickett
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (86% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
Rivera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezDecision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerSubmission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberSubmission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraSubmission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07