METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
London, United Kingdom
27 Feb 2016
Bantamweight
VS
58%
Rivera
42%
Pickett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad PickettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Rivera · UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rivera
→
Actual result
Pickett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 58% vs Pickett at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rivera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rivera's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiveraPickett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rivera
Pickett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Pickett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
13.8
45.2
Performance Avg
36.4
49
Quality of Victory
37
69
Momentum Score
60
Rivera
Pickett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
30%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground3
Rivera
Pickett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rivera
Pickett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
12
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/39 fights
Rivera
Pickett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
60
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Rivera
Pickett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
Pickett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
RiveraPickett
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPickett
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (86% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Pickett targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
Pickett
0/0R00/0
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Rivera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07