UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Rivera
54%
Almeida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JR
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
23 – 5
5'4"68" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
TA
Thomas Almeida
"Thominhas"
22 – 5
Knockout Artist4-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Almeida

This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 46% vs Almeida at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Almeida has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rivera
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rivera
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.8
18.4
43.5
Performance Avg
50.6
30
Quality of Victory
51
58
Momentum Score
59
Rivera
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
14
5
Body
5
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
17Distance20
6Clinch5
1Ground0
Rivera
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Rivera
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Rivera
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rivera
Almeida
Striking2.7 / 9.0Volume8.1 / 2.6Grappling2.1 / 0.5Wrestling1.4 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Rivera
Strike Zones
Almeida
Rivera
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY6LEGS25 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY6LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (63% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (56% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rivera
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W6.5L7.0L4.5W6.0L2015-072016-092018-092020-072021-02
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W2.6L5.2W5.5L4.0L6.0L5.5L2014-112015-112017-072021-03
WinLossTrend

Rivera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09

Almeida · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Rob FontRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · KO · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

News & Media

Jimmie Rivera · Thomas Almeida
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