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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jan 2022
Featherweight
VS
93%
Kelleher
7%
Croom
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Brian
Brian Kelleher
"Boom"
2416
5'6"66" reachSwitch40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
KC
Kevin Croom
"Crash"
2115
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Brian KelleherwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kevin Croom · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelleher
Actual result
Kelleher wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Kelleher is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kelleher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Risk flags

Kelleher's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
KelleherCroom
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Kelleher
Croom
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kelleher
Croom
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.8
3.3
44.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
61
Momentum Score
0
Kelleher
Croom
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.9
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
1Clinch1
8Ground0
Kelleher
Croom
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kelleher
Croom
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
4/36 fights
Kelleher
Croom
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Kelleher
Croom
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kelleher
Croom
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume3.9 / 0.0Grappling3.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.0Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Kelleher
Strike Zones
Croom
Kelleher
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Croom
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kelleher targets the head (77% of attacks) — Croom absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Croom targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kelleher
RND
Croom
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Kelleher · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Cody Gibson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Cody Garbrandt
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario Bautista
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar Nurmagomedov
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin Croom
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Croom · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Alatengheili
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Brian Kelleher
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Alex Caceres
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
Upcoming
Roosevelt Roberts
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09

News & Media

Brian Kelleher · Kevin Croom
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