UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jan 2022
Featherweight
VS
93%
Kelleher
7%
Croom
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kelleher
Kelleher is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kelleher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Kelleher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kelleher's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kelleher
Croom
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+73"
39
Age
+38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kelleher
Croom
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.8
3.3
44.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
61
Momentum Score
0
Kelleher
Croom
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
1Clinch1
8Ground0
Kelleher
Croom
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kelleher
Croom
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
4/36 fights
Kelleher
Croom
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Kelleher
Croom
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelleher
Croom
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KelleherCroom
Strike Zones
Kelleher
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCroom
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelleher targets the head (77% of attacks) — Croom absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Croom targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelleher
RND
Croom
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kelleher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Croom · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Kelleher · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Cody GibsonRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar NurmagomedovRating 2.8Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin CroomRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Croom · Last 4
L · KO · R1
AlatengheiliRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
Upcoming
Roosevelt RobertsUFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09