The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
90%
Modafferi
10%
Honchak
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:32
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
BH
Barb Honchak
"Little Warrior"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Modafferi

Modafferi is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Modafferi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Modafferi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Modafferi
Honchak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
65"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Honchak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
2.1
34.7
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
Modafferi
Honchak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.4
31%
Strike Accuracy
23%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
27Ground0
Modafferi
Honchak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Honchak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Modafferi
Honchak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Honchak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi
Honchak
Striking3.2 / 0.0Volume6.7 / 0.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Modafferi
Strike Zones
Honchak
Modafferi
Attacking
30HEAD0BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Honchak
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD0BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Honchak absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Honchak targets the head (100% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi
RND
Honchak
0/0R00/0

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Honchak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0106.3L2.8L2017-122018-07
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Honchak · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Roxanne ModafferiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Barb Honchak
← Back to fights