METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Jackson
48%
Bader
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ryan BaderwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Quinton Jackson · UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Bader wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 52% vs Bader at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bader has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bader has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacksonBader
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jackson
Bader
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Bader
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
20.1
51.1
Performance Avg
54.2
44
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
100
Jackson
Bader
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
13
1
Body
7
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground18
Jackson
Bader
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Bader
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
10
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Jackson
Bader
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Bader
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Bader
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
JacksonBader
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedBader
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Bader targets the head (62% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Bader
0/0R00/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Bader · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01