METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Middleweight
VS
65%
Gastelum
35%
Till
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Darren TillwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kelvin Gastelum · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gastelum
→
Actual result
Till wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Till has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Gastelum's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GastelumTill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gastelum
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Gastelum
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
22.4
47.4
Performance Avg
44.3
42
Quality of Victory
38
28
Momentum Score
35
Gastelum
Till
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
4.0
6.3
Style: Volume
6.4
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
12
5
Body
1
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance17
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Gastelum
Till
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gastelum
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Gastelum
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Gastelum
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gastelum
Till
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
GastelumTill
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTill
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gastelum targets the head (33% of attacks) — Till absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Till targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gastelum
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03