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UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
90%
Breese
10%
Bhullar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:42
TB
Tom Breese
123
6'3"73" reachSouthpaw34 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 20
KB
KB Bhullar
"The Bengal"
82
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSwitch78" reach6'4"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Tom BreesewinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:42
def. KB Bhullar · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Breese
Actual result
Breese wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Breese is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Risk flags

Breese's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BreeseBhullar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Breese
Bhullar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+78"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Breese
Bhullar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.7
2.1
56.8
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Breese
Bhullar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.9
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Breese
Bhullar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Breese
Bhullar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Breese
Bhullar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Breese
Bhullar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Breese
Bhullar
Striking9.3 / 0.0Volume2.9 / 0.0Grappling0.5 / 0.0Wrestling0.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Breese
Strike Zones
Bhullar
Breese
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Bhullar
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Breese targets the head (88% of attacks) — Bhullar absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Bhullar targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Breese absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Breese
RND
Bhullar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Breese · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Omari Akhmedov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
KB Bhullar
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Brendan Allen
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Daniel Kelly
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean Strickland
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

Bhullar · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Andreas Michailidis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Tom Breese
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10

News & Media

Tom Breese · KB Bhullar
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