UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Middleweight
VS
90%
Breese
10%
Bhullar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:42
TB
Tom Breese
12 – 3
6'3"73" reachSouthpaw34 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 20
KB
KB Bhullar
"The Bengal"
8 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSwitch78" reach6'4"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Breese

Breese is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Breese has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Breese's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Breese
Bhullar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+78"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Breese
Bhullar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.7
2.1
56.8
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Breese
Bhullar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
51%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Breese
Bhullar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Breese
Bhullar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Breese
Bhullar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Breese
Bhullar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Breese
Bhullar
Striking9.3 / 0.0Volume2.9 / 0.0Grappling0.5 / 0.0Wrestling0.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Breese
Strike Zones
Bhullar
Breese
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Bhullar
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Breese targets the head (88% of attacks) — Bhullar absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Bhullar targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Breese absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Breese
RND
Bhullar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Breese · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W4.5W6.6L5.0W2.8L5.0W2.8L2015-052016-022018-052020-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Bhullar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2020-102021-05
WinLossTrend

Breese · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Omari AkhmedovRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
KB BhullarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Daniel KellyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

Bhullar · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Andreas MichailidisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Tom BreeseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10

News & Media

Tom Breese · KB Bhullar
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