METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
16 Apr 2022
Welterweight
VS
58%
Baeza
42%
Fialho
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:39
★ Official Result
Andre FialhowinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:39
def. Miguel Baeza · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Baeza
→
Actual result
Fialho wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Baeza at 58% vs Fialho at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Baeza's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fialho has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaezaFialho
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Baeza
Fialho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baeza
Fialho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.1
32.8
49.0
Performance Avg
47.4
53
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
20
Baeza
Fialho
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
7.9
0.9
Style: Volume
0.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
19
4
Body
5
5
Leg
8
RangeRange
24Distance25
0Clinch5
0Ground2
Baeza
Fialho
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baeza
Fialho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Baeza
Fialho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
20
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Baeza
Fialho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baeza
Fialho
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
BaezaFialho
Strike Zones
Baeza
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedFialho
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baeza targets the head (63% of attacks) — Fialho absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Fialho targets the head (59% of attacks) — Baeza absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baeza
RND
Fialho
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Baeza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoDecision
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L · KO · R3
Khaos WilliamsKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Takashi SatoSubmission
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Fialho · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Tim MeansKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
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L · KO · R3
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · KO · R2
Jake MatthewsKO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · KO · R1
Cameron VanCampKO/TKO
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