UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard
Oklahoma City, USA
16 Sept 2009
Welterweight
VS
65%
Pyle
35%
Wilson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pyle
Pyle holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Wilson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Pyle throws more volume but Wilson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pyle's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pyle
Wilson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
50
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pyle
Wilson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
10.4
47.8
Performance Avg
25.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Pyle
Wilson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
1
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Pyle
Wilson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pyle
Wilson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
7
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/41 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Pyle
Wilson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pyle
Wilson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pyle
Wilson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PyleWilson
Strike Zones
Pyle
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWilson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pyle targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Wilson targets the head (43% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pyle
RND
Wilson
0/0R00/0
Pyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Wilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pyle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Wilson · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Mike PyleRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve BrunoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03