UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Middleweight
VS
66%
Hernandez
34%
Fremd
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hernandez
Hernandez holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Fremd has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hernandez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fremd has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hernandez
Fremd
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Fremd
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
33.1
56.2
Performance Avg
35.7
44
Quality of Victory
37
98
Momentum Score
25
Hernandez
Fremd
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
66%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch1
17Ground1
Hernandez
Fremd
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Fremd
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Hernandez
Fremd
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
25
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Hernandez
Fremd
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Fremd
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
HernandezFremd
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedFremd
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Fremd absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Fremd targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Fremd
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Fremd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hernandez · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Fremd · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R2
Roman KopylovRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Sedriques DumasRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Tresean GoreRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10