METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Jacksonville, USA
9 Apr 2022
Middleweight
VS
63%
Hernandez
37%
Fremd
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Anthony HernandezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Fremd · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hernandez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Fremd has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fremd has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezFremd
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Fremd
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Fremd
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
33.1
53.9
Performance Avg
35.7
44
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
25
Hernandez
Fremd
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
4.5
3.2
Style: Volume
4.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch1
17Ground1
Hernandez
Fremd
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
5.6
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Fremd
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Hernandez
Fremd
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Hernandez
Fremd
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Fremd
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
HernandezFremd
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedFremd
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Fremd absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Fremd targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Fremd
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Gregory RodriguesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Fremd · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R2
Roman KopylovKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Sedriques DumasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Tresean GoreSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10