UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Alcantara
53%
Issa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Issa
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 47% vs Issa at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alcantara
Issa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
45
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Issa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
19.1
48.0
Performance Avg
44.3
41
Quality of Victory
47
49
Momentum Score
59
Alcantara
Issa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
5
4
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance5
6Clinch0
9Ground1
Alcantara
Issa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Issa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Alcantara
Issa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
Alcantara
Issa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Issa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
AlcantaraIssa
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedIssa
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (82% of attacks) — Issa absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Issa targets the head (83% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Issa
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Issa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Issa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Iuri AlcantaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R3
Jumabieke TuerxunRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Sub · R2
Russell DoaneRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01