METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
42%
Moicano
58%
Denis
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Renato MoicanowinsR2 · 5:00
def. Benoit Saint Denis · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Denis
→
Actual result
Moicano wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 42% vs Denis at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Denis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Denis has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoicanoDenis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moicano
Denis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moicano
Denis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
68.7
51.7
Performance Avg
60.2
43
Quality of Victory
54
64
Momentum Score
91
Moicano
Denis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
9.1
3.8
Style: Volume
1.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
0
Body
7
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moicano
Denis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
5.4
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
7
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moicano
Denis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Moicano
Denis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
91
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Moicano
Denis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
7
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moicano
Denis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
MoicanoDenis
Strike Zones
Moicano
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDenis
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (80% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Denis targets the head (62% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moicano
RND
Denis
0/0R00/0
Moicano · Last 5
Upcoming
Brian OrtegaUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
Denis · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05