UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
42%
Moicano
58%
Denis
Win Probability
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Benoit
Benoit Saint Denis
"God of War"
17 – 3
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Denis

This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 42% vs Denis at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Denis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Denis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moicano
Denis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moicano
Denis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
70.9
51.7
Performance Avg
62.5
43
Quality of Victory
54
64
Momentum Score
91
Moicano
Denis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
60%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
0
Body
7
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moicano
Denis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moicano
Denis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Moicano
Denis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
91
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Moicano
Denis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
7
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moicano
Denis
Striking2.1 / 7.1Volume3.8 / 1.5Grappling5.0 / 3.6Wrestling3.5 / 2.5Submission5.4 / 4.4Pressure6.3 / 9.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
Moicano
Strike Zones
Denis
Moicano
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD7BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Denis
Attacking
13HEAD7BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (80% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Denis targets the head (62% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moicano
RND
Denis
0/0R00/0

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Denis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.0L5.2W5.7W5.4W5.5W5.2W3.4L5.1L5.2W6.9W6.0W6.1W2021-102023-072024-032025-092026-01
WinLossTrend

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Denis · Last 5

Upcoming
Paddy Pimblett
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 6.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

News & Media

Renato Moicano · Benoit Saint Denis
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