UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Featherweight
VS
47%
Pearce
53%
Onama
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Onama
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearce at 47% vs Onama at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Onama throws more volume but Pearce connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearce's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pearce
Onama
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+74"
34
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Pearce
Onama
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.8
51.1
47.4
Performance Avg
50.6
42
Quality of Victory
40
56
Momentum Score
50
Pearce
Onama
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
35
5
Body
4
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance37
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Pearce
Onama
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearce
Onama
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Pearce
Onama
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Pearce
Onama
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearce
Onama
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
PearceOnama
Strike Zones
Pearce
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedOnama
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearce targets the head (75% of attacks) — Onama absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Onama targets the head (90% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearce
RND
Onama
0/0R00/0
Pearce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Onama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoRating 4.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Onama · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Roberto RomeroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Gabriel SantosRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

