METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Lightweight
VS
55%
Garcia
45%
Gordon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:27
★ Official Result
Rafa GarciawinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:27
def. Jared Gordon · Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Garcia wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Garcia at 55% vs Gordon at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GarciaGordon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Garcia
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
42.1
44.7
Performance Avg
42.8
32
Quality of Victory
36
75
Momentum Score
63
Garcia
Gordon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
3.9
7.0
Style: Volume
6.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
10
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance11
2Clinch0
11Ground0
Garcia
Gordon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garcia
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Garcia
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
63
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Garcia
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garcia
Gordon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
GarciaGordon
Strike Zones
Garcia
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGordon
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (92% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (91% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garcia
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Garcia · Last 5
Upcoming
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