UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Couture
49%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Couture
This is a genuine toss-up — Couture at 51% vs Vera at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Couture has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Vera throws more volume but Couture connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Couture's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vera has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Couture
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
62
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Couture
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
19.6
62.4
Performance Avg
48.3
60
Quality of Victory
45
72
Momentum Score
100
Couture
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
61%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
6
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance8
17Clinch3
0Ground0
Couture
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Couture
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Couture
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Couture
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
63%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Couture
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
CoutureVera
Strike Zones
Couture
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedVera
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Couture targets the head (64% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (55% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Couture
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Couture · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Couture · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
Vera · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Ben RothwellRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R4
Mauricio RuaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Upcoming
Thiago SilvaUFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03