UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Santos
61%
Anders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 5:00
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
6'2"76" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 32
Eryk
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anders

Anders holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anders has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Anders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Anders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
50.9
54.0
Performance Avg
45.4
51
Quality of Victory
41
91
Momentum Score
79
Santos
Anders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
11 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
14
6
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance4
35Clinch2
5Ground8
Santos
Anders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Anders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Santos
Anders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Santos
Anders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
50%
11
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Anders
Striking9.0 / 6.0Volume2.9 / 5.0Grappling0.5 / 1.2Wrestling0.4 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Santos
Strike Zones
Anders
Santos
Attacking
43HEAD6BODY5LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Anders
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
43HEAD6BODY5LEGS54 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Anders targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Anders
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Anders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W2.8L5.5L6.4L5.0W5.6W5.5L4.5W2.4L6.6L5.9W5.5L4.5W6.1W3.0L4.5W2017-072018-122021-062024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

Anders · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

News & Media

Thiago Santos · Eryk Anders
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