UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Minneapolis, USA
29 Jun 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
94%
Lungiambula
6%
Townsend
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lungiambula
Lungiambula is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lungiambula has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Lungiambula has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lungiambula's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Townsend has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lungiambula
Townsend
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+79"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lungiambula
Townsend
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
1.5
33.9
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Lungiambula
Townsend
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
24%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Lungiambula
Townsend
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lungiambula
Townsend
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/33 fights
Lungiambula
Townsend
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Lungiambula
Townsend
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lungiambula
Townsend
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LungiambulaTownsend
Strike Zones
Lungiambula
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTownsend
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lungiambula targets the head (94% of attacks) — Townsend absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Townsend targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lungiambula absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lungiambula
RND
Townsend
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lungiambula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Townsend · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lungiambula · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Markus PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Townsend · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bevon LewisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06