UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2022
Welterweight
VS
19%
Barry
81%
Jackson
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
Jackson is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Striking split: Barry throws more volume but Jackson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jackson has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barry
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+74"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barry
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
17.8
0.0
Performance Avg
31.3
0
Quality of Victory
30
0
Momentum Score
35
Barry
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
14.4
2.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
13
10
Body
1
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
26Distance18
8Clinch0
2Ground0
Barry
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Barry
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/6 fights
Chin rating based on
4 fights
Barry
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
L · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Barry
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barry
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
BarryJackson
Strike Zones
Barry
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedJackson
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barry targets the head (69% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (72% of attacks) — Barry absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barry
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Barry · Last 1
L · R1
Mike JacksonRating 4UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
Jackson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Pete RodriguezRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
W · R1
Dean BarryRating 4UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
Upcoming
CM PunkUFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02