METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
Sacramento, USA
30 Aug 2014
Lightweight
VS
28%
Medeiros
72%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:54
★ Official Result
Yancy MedeiroswinsSubmissionR2 · 1:54
def. Damon Jackson · UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
→
Actual result
Medeiros wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Jackson is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Medeiros's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MedeirosJackson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Medeiros
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
75"+
Reach
71"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Medeiros
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
40.5
45.4
Performance Avg
43.0
47
Quality of Victory
38
39
Momentum Score
59
Medeiros
Jackson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
7.1
Style: Pressure
5.0
2.2
Style: Volume
5.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Medeiros
Jackson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.4
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Medeiros
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Medeiros
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Medeiros
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medeiros
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MedeirosJackson
Strike Zones
Medeiros
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedJackson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Medeiros targets the head (78% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medeiros
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraKO/TKO
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Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
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Dan IgeKO/TKO
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