METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Heavyweight
VS
5%
Baudot
95%
Nascimento
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nascimento
Nascimento is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nascimento has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Risk flags
Baudot's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nascimento has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Baudot
Nascimento
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"
Reach
+80"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baudot
Nascimento
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
41.9
0.0
Performance Avg
41.5
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
73
Baudot
Nascimento
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.0
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
3.5
0.0
Style: Volume
7.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
28
4
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance29
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Baudot
Nascimento
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baudot
Nascimento
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Baudot
Nascimento
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
73
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Baudot
Nascimento
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baudot
Nascimento
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
BaudotNascimento
Strike Zones
Baudot
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedNascimento
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baudot targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nascimento targets the head (90% of attacks) — Baudot absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baudot
RND
Nascimento
0/0R00/0
Baudot · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Josh ParisianKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Parker PorterDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
Upcoming
Rodrigo NascimentoUFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
Nascimento · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09